Goal! USA 1-0 Australia (Rodman 43)

42 min: Worse, there’s an air of inevitability here. If Australia play this deep for the rest of the game, they will concede a goal. No doubt about it.

(Please don’t remind me of this post if it ends 0-0.)

Save by Arnold as Dunn passes to Rodman at the upper corner of the 17-yard box, and the forward lashes a tough shot on target. Arnold palms it over.

But …

41 min: Robert Speed is unhappy: “This game is embarrassing. Australia playing so deep, and when they do win the ball, can’t string 2 passes together and concede possession to the US immediately. It looks like a half-pitch training session.”

I can’t really argue with that, recent Australian attack notwithstanding.

40 min: SAVE BY ARNOLD as Horan had a header deep inside the 6-yard box off a beautiful cross from Fox. The header was on target and well struck, but Arnold quickly got her hands up and deflected it off the bar.

38 min: A USA counter! Australia are caught upfield, and the USA race forward. Once again, it’s Dunn, who covers more ground that the stadium’s sprinkler system, taking a shot that should’ve been harmless but is bungled by the normally reliable Arnold, who is lucky that the ball ends up in the top of the net rather than in it.

37 min: A bit of danger near the USA goal, as Hayley Raso finds space on the left flank to cross on the ground, only to see Crystal Dunn alertly intercepting.

I think Raso and Dunn were Washington Spirit teammates at one time, but I’d have to look it up to be sure.

36 min: We are once again compressed with 21 players within in the USA’s attacking third.

Australia manage to win possession and move forward.

34 min: Bit of a strange no-call there, as a US midfielder mugs an Australian counterpart to keep possession.

32 min: The USA pad their pass-completion percentage by knocking the ball around 30-50 yards from the Australian goal, unimpeded by any sort of pressure. I hope Naeher has some music to keep her entertained.

32 min: Joe Pearson checks in again …

How am I doing? Fine, thank you! As for events today, nothing much has been really in my wheelhouse. I kind of kept it on in the background. I did watch the women’s trap shooting final, which was kind of cool, but I had to depend on the judges and announcers. I couldn’t see a single trap. Maybe I need new glasses, or a better tv. Or both.

Maybe you’ll see an offside trap here.

30 min: CHANCE for the USA, with Smith placing a deft 10-yard lob over a gaggle of Australian defenders to put Swanson in at close range against Arnold, but the Australian keeper cuts out the danger. Clever from Smith, though.

28 min: Torpey is down, and the referee sensibly calls for the teams to take a hydration break.

Scorching shot for Germany, well saved.

26 min: A couple of powerful tackles, and the referee (from France, incidentally) plays advantage while Horan gathers herself.

I’m shocked by the USA’s lackadaisical passing. I wouldn’t want to be in the locker room with Emma Hayes at halftime.

24 min: The crowd in Marseille is limited to the lower half of the stands, but it’s a noisy one. Australia are very well-supported here.

And now they have an attack, and a shot goes just wide. Mary Fowler is on the receiving end of an efficient sequence of passes, and she drags the shot just a bit beyond the far post. I’m not sure Naeher had that covered.

23 min: The USA take a quick throw-in before the assistant referee interjects to say it’s Australia’s ball at midfield.

They throw it back into their own half.

22 min: Australia attack, but Trinity Rodman, who has proven adept at tracking back to win the ball, does just that.

21 min: In fairness, the USA are starting to press a bit now. The ball ends up at the feet of Dunn, who has a bit of space but declines the shooting opportunity, instead making a short pass that’s easily intercepted.

20 min: Dunn draws a foul at midfield. The free kick is basically a square pass.

Sigh. How’s everyone doing today? What other events are you watching?

19 min: Australia have 47 players behind the ball.

The USA are sending Crystal Dunn and Emily Sonnett up into the attack.

I would presume Naomi Girma and Alyssa Naeher are playing a nice game of cards in the other half of the field to pass the time.

17 min: The USA are sending forth some imprecise passes.

15 min: The Group C games have concluded. Those standings:

9 Spain
6 Japan (+2 goal difference)
3 Brazil (-2)
0 Nigeria

So the upshot is that Australia cannot lose this game and finish ahead of Brazil. If the USA win, barring a Zambian wipeout of Germany, the Matildas would need a fortunate Group A result to advance if they lose this game.

14 min: Keeper holds it … holds it … holds it.

Arnold keeps the ball at her feet while the USA show no interest in pressing. I may have oversold this game’s entertainment value.

12 min: A US attack is a bit too ambitious.

Alexia Putellas has scored in the 17th minute of stoppage time to double Spain’s advantage over Brazil. I’ll calculate scenarios at halftime.

10 min: Having seen a replay of Germany’s goal vs. Zambia, I’m reminded that Zambia’s defense has not yet caught up to its offense.

Live group standings:
7 USA
6 Germany
4 Australia
0 Zambia

9 min: CHANCE for Rodman, and it’s a superb save for Arnold after the US forward makes a cutback move in the box to create plenty of space for her to whip a hard shot on goal.

The rebound falls to Smith, who has little time to react and shoots over the bar.

Germany have apparently scored already.

8 min: Australia try a counter, but I think it would’ve been called back as offside. That’s Australia’s first real effort at getting forward.

In Germany-Zambia, players are having a hard time staying upright.

6 min: CHANCE for the USA, with Horan barreling down the middle and playing to her left. It’s played across, but no one can get to the ball.

4 min: In case you’re wondering who else is in jeopardy …

USA: Trinity Rodman

Australia: Caitlin Foord, Alanna Kennedy

3 min: Yellow card to the USA’s Sam Coffey, which means she’ll miss the quarterfinals.

2 min: Looks like a potentially serious injury for German defender Kathrin Hendrich.

Kickoff

Quick thought from Peter Oh on Spain-Brazil: “Re: Spain - Brazil. It’s always good to see the famous yellow of ... Spain’s shorts?!”

It’s an odd choice, isn’t it?

The Spain-Brazil game will have at least 16 minutes of stoppage time, and it’ll surely be more because Brazilian players have reached the stage at the game in which they’re falling to the ground. It’s as much exhaustion as it is gamesmanship.

I will not, therefore, be watching the rest of that game. I’m already planning to use my phone to keep an eye on Germany-Zambia. Only so many screens.

I’m still watching Spain-Brazil, and there’s a group of young-sounding fans uncomfortably close to the commentator’s microphone yelling something that sounds like “Zika!”

Do they think Hope Solo is playing?

Joe Pearson, whom I see from the main Olympics coverage today was watching when Marta picked up her red card, politely takes issue with my post on the knockout rounds …

Would it be a bad thing if the USA won!? There is no worse tempter of fate than to try to pick your future opponent. It is known.

Coincidentally, I listened to a podcast today about the 2012 badminton scandal in which several players were dismissed from the Games for giving, shall we say, an unspectacular effort in the hopes of gaming the system, so maybe I’m feeling a bit cynical.

I have mail …

Chris Paraskevas writes:

G’Day Beau, I was supposed to get some sleep before the 3am kick off but I decided a midnight movie would keep me awake nicely. The problem is, I chose “Don’t Look Now” (the Nicholas Roeg one where Donald Sutherland trips out in Venice). Hopefully the Matildas’ Olympic campaign doesn’t come to a similarly messy end tonight.

We haven’t looked convincing at any point since the World Cup (and indeed, throughout it). The Olympic qualifying campaign was more akin to a travelling roadshow / circus - Harlem Globetrotters style. Great for pumping up the brand but not the best litmus test for Tony G’s tactics.

I fear the worst tonight and will be up for another 8 hours at least once this caffeine hits... hopefully Lavelle has an off day (she is class).

She is indeed, but I sense that falling behind against Zambia awakened a very talented team. They’re one of few teams with the attacking panache to make things difficult for Naomi Girma and company. That said, the best way to stop the Smith/Swanson/Rodman trio might be to surreptitiously change the USA’s lineup card.

Would winning this game be a bad thing for the USA?

The first-place team in this group will face the second-place team in Group C, the Group of Death. If current scores hold, that’ll be Japan.

The second-place team in this group will face the second-place team in Group A. That’ll likely be France or Canada, but given Canada’s six-point penalty, Colombia would just need a draw to take that second spot. And in any case, Japan might be a tougher out than Canada at this point.

If a third-place team advances from this group, they’ll play the winner of Group A or Group C. Nothing like a lovely matchup against Spain to get a team’s attention.

And just as I hit “send,” Spain finally break through the stubborn Brazilian resistance to take a 1-0 lead.

I would expect the next 20 minutes to be extremely dull.

What's at stake

Australia lineup

USA lineup

Preamble

Beau will be here shortly, but here’s how the Matildas kept their hopes alive with a wild win in their last game:

The greatest escape? In the history of international football, there have been comebacks. There have been thrillers. And then there was whatever the hell played out between Zambia and Australia in Nice on Sunday night.

The Matildas recovered from a three-goal deficit, a hat-trick from Zambian sensation Barbra Banda and a brace from the most expensive signing in women’s football Racheal Kundananji, to somehow emerge victorious. If the Matildas needed a heart attack to restart their Olympic campaign, they got one – and the three points that might just keep them at Paris 2024 beyond the group stage.

Perhaps never before has such an exciting game of Olympic football been enjoyed first-hand by so few. Only several thousand spectators had made the trek to the Stade de Nice, on the outskirts of the Mediterranean city. But they were treated to something spectacular and surreal, a see-sawing clash of attacking brilliance and defensive frailty of the kind rarely witnessed at this rarefied international level.

Already the obituaries were being written for the Matildas’ Olympic campaign. Already fans back home were sharpening their knives. Like the Marie Antoinette character in Friday’s opening ceremony, Matildas boss Tony Gustavsson’s head was firmly on the chopping block. Until suddenly it wasn’t.

1-0 Zambia. 1-1 Australia. 2-1 Zambia. 3-1 Zambia. 3-2 Australia. 4-2 Zambia. 5-2 Zambia. 5-3 Australia. 5-4 Australia. 5-5 Australia, through a VAR-awarded penalty, coolly slotted home by captain Steph Catley.

And then, at the death, super-sub Michelle Heyman found herself through on goal.

You can read the full report below: